Nigeria vs Rwanda Prediction for 7 September 2025 - Football

🔊 A thrilling African night awaits in Uyo as Nigeria host Rwanda in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers. The Super Eagles currently sit fourth in their group and desperately need a victory to regain control of their destiny. Rwanda, just one point ahead, are poised to capitalize on the pressure facing the hosts. All eyes will be on Victor Osimhen, whose goals could significantly influence the outcome. This is more than just a match; it's a direct showdown for the right to stay in the race for the World Cup.

Head-to-Head

The last official match between the teams took place on 22 March 2025 and ended with a score of 0-2. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Rwanda were the hosts):

• possession: 45% vs 55%;
• corners: 4 vs 8;
• fouls: 12 vs 20;
• yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
• shots on target: 2 vs 3.

📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Nigeria and Rwanda:

• 5 matches played;
• home wins – 1, away wins – 1, draws – 3;
• goals scored – 4 for Nigeria, 3 for Rwanda;
• average goals in the first half – 0.4, in the second half – 1;
• average total goals per match – 1.4.

Nigeria Team Overview

The team's last official match took place on in the African Nations Championship, with Nigeria hosting Congo. The match ended in a 2-0 victory for Nigeria.

Here are the match statistics (Nigeria vs. Congo):

• possession: 58% vs. 42%;
• corners: 9 vs. 2;
• fouls: 18 vs. 17;
• yellow cards: 5 vs. 1;
• red cards: 0 vs. 1;
• shots on target: 3 vs. 0.

🟢 Nigeria are having a mixed qualifying campaign in Group C. They stumbled out of the gates with three consecutive draws and a painful defeat to Benin (2-1), which pushed them down the standings. It wasn't until summer that the "Super Eagles" found their form, with Victor Osimhen's brace securing their first victory over Rwanda (2-0), only to slip up again with a draw against Zimbabwe (1-1). Nigeria currently sit fourth with seven points, level with Rwanda, while South Africa, Lesotho, and Benin are ahead. Their World Cup destiny remains in their hands, but they can no longer afford any missteps.

Rwanda Team Overview

The visiting team played their last match on in a friendly against Algeria. The game ended with a 2-0 scoreline.

Here are the match stats (Rwanda vs Algeria):

• possession: 48% vs 52%;
• corners: 5 vs 3;
• yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
• shots on target: 2 vs 3.

🟡 Rwanda in Group C come across as a determined and resilient side. They kicked off with a draw against Zimbabwe (0-0) and followed it up with an emphatic victory over South Africa (2-0), which immediately boosted their confidence. Although they suffered a setback with a 0-1 loss to Benin, they quickly rebounded by defeating Lesotho (1-0). The spring saw a disappointing home defeat to Nigeria, losing 0-2. As it stands, the "Wasps" have accumulated eight points and occupy a spot in the upper part of the table. Rwanda may not be the favorites, but they remain in the mix, clinging to the hope of pulling off a surprise.

Outcome Prediction

Outcome Prediction

Head-to-Head Matches:

• Total encounters – 5;
• Home wins – 1, Away wins – 1, Draws – 3.

Statistics: Nigeria vs Rwanda

• Matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
• Wins: 0 vs 2;
• Win percentage: 0% vs 50%;
• Losses: 1 vs 1;
• Draws: 3 vs 1.

Last 10 Matches:

• Wins: 5 vs 4;
• Losses: 3 vs 3;
• Draws: 2 vs 3.

• Rwanda cover a +1.5 handicap on the road in 14 consecutive matches.
• Rwanda cover a +1.5 handicap away in 6 straight matches (World Cup Qualifiers, Africa).

Total Goals Prediction

Head-to-Head Matches

• Average goals by home team - 0.8, by away team - 0.6;
• Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 1.4;
• Both teams scored: overall - 2 times; at home ground - 1 time.

• Total under 2.5 goals has hit in Nigeria's last 6 home matches (World Cup Qualifiers, Africa).
• Total under 2.5 goals has hit in Rwanda's last 6 matches (World Cup Qualifiers, Africa).

Both Teams to Score Prediction

Head-to-Head Matches:

• Total encounters – 5;
• Both teams scored overall - 2 times;
• At home ground - 1 time.

Statistics: Nigeria vs Rwanda

• Total matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
• Matches where both teams scored (BTTS): Nigeria - 4, Rwanda - 0;
• Nigeria's BTTS at home – 2 (100%);
• Rwanda's BTTS away – 0 (0%).

Last 10 Matches:

• BTTS matches: Nigeria - 4, Rwanda - 5;
• Nigeria's BTTS at home – 3 (60%);
• Rwanda's BTTS away – 2 (50%).

• Nigeria have both scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 matches (World Cup Qualifiers, Africa).

Nigeria boast a powerful squad, but they are inconsistent and often drop points in matches where they should secure a win. Rwanda, on the other hand, play with discipline and know how to grind out results, although their attacking prowess is considerably less impressive. For the hosts, this is a must-win match. The support of the home crowd, their motivation, and the presence of Osimhen should be decisive factors. Our prediction: Nigeria to win.