TIPS - Latvia VS Serbia

[(Latvia) Strength]:
1. Latvia currently rank fourth in the World Cup qualification (UEFA) group with 4 points, level on points with third-placed Serbia but trailing on goal difference. Playing at home this time, Latvia are eager to defeat Serbia to improve their group ranking and gain more initiative in advancing.
2. Latvia lost only 1 of their last 6 games in AH, and won all of their last 3 World Cup qualification (UEFA) games in AH.

[(Latvia) Weakness]:
1. Latvia have achieved a record of 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 matches, with a win rate of only 16.7%, performing poorly overall.
2. Latvia's recent home performance has been mediocre. They have failed to win any of their last four home games, during which they failed to score in two games. The win rate of their last 10 home games is only 30%.
3. Latvia's offensive performance in this World Cup qualification (UEFA) group stage has been poor so far. They have scored only two goals in three matches, just more than bottom Andorra.
4. Latvia's defense has been poor. They have conceded four goals in three group matches, averaging more than one goal per game. In the last four home games, they have conceded six goals.

[(Serbia) Strength]:
1. Serbia currently sit third in their group, closely trailing their direct competitors in the standings, making every match crucial. Visiting weakest opponents in the group, Latvia, Serbia are aiming to secure all three points and get as many goals as possible to improve their goal difference.
2. Serbia have had a stable start in the World Cup qualification (UEFA) group stage, achieving an unbeaten record of one win and one draw in two matches, and have remained unbeaten in the past six international competitions.
3. Serbia's defense is highly stable. They kept both clean sheets in their first two group matches of the qualifiers and have conceded only one goal in their last five games.
4. Serbia won 6 of their last 10 games in AH, and won 2 of their last 3 away games in AH.

[(Serbia) Weakness]:
1. Serbia's main center forward Mitrovic will miss this game due to a calf injury, which is a relatively big blow to the team's offense.
2. Serbia's recent away performance has been rather poor. They have failed to win in their last six away official matches, only achieving four draws and two losses. Their ability to play away from home is rather weak.
3. Serbia's away attack is weak. In the past six away games, they have only scored two goals. With Mitrovic injured, the team's offensive ability has significantly weakened.

[Tips]:
Latvia, strugglers in Europe, are unable to pose a substantial threat to powerful Serbia, in terms of the overall strength, the individual ability of the players or the recent poor form.

However, it should be noted that Serbia's recent away performance has been poor, especially in offensive end.

Mitrovic's injury is the biggest loss, and Serbia have failed to score in many away games.

Serbia will face a huge challenge in this away game against Latvia.

So Serbia are expected to win this game but lose it in AH.

[Recommended]:
Latvia (+1.5)