Colombia vs Bolivia Prediction for 5 September 2025 - Football

🔈 Can Bolivia's national team seize their last opportunity to qualify for the main stage of the World Cup? Colombia are on the verge of securing their spot in next year's tournament, while the "Greens" need a victory to overtake Venezuela and move up to 7th place in the standings. Despite being the team with the most goals conceded in the qualifiers, Bolivia's performance is far from disheartening. Let's take a look at the pre-match odds from the bookmakers: a win for the hosts is at 1.16, while a victory for the visitors is at 20.

Head-to-Head

📊 In the current qualifying campaign, Bolivia have already defeated Colombia on home soil with a 1-0 victory. The standout performer in that encounter was Miguel Terceros, who managed to put his team ahead even though the "Greens" had to play with a man down from the middle of the first half. Bolivia have only ever tasted success on Colombian soil once, back in 1994 during a friendly match, which ended 1-0.

Colombia Team Overview

🟡 The Colombian national team is in a dire run of form, struggling to secure their spot in the World Cup. Over their last six qualifying matches, the "Cafeteros" have failed to win, recording three draws and three losses. Head coach Néstor Lorenzo is under some pressure as the squad has not looked competitive recently. Currently sitting in 6th place in the standings, a victory in their upcoming match would secure their qualification for the 2026 World Cup.

🔵 Néstor Lorenzo advocates for proactive football, emphasizing a quick transition from defense to attack. The preferred formation for the "Cafeteros" is a 4-3-3, which can situationally shift into a 4-2-3-1. The Colombian team is not averse to playing a reactive game, effectively holding their ground in positional defense while waiting for the right moment. Even against Bolivia, it seems unlikely that the "Cafeteros" will dominate the full 90 minutes.

Bolivia Team Overview

🟢 In their latest match, the Bolivians secured a victory against the Chilean national team with a 2-0 win. This triumph keeps the "Greens" in contention for a spot in the main stage of the World Cup. Bolivia are just one point behind Venezuela, who sit in 7th place in the standings. It's hard to overlook their scoring statistics—while they score an average of one goal per match, Oscar Villegas' squad concede as many as two goals per game, the worst defensive record in the qualifiers. Their performance in away games has been lackluster as well, with only three points collected from eight matches.

📌 Typically, Bolivia play a counter-attacking style, aiming to avoid leaving open spaces and gaps in their lines. Over the last 10 matches, the "Greens" have maintained about 45% possession per game. Oscar Villegas favors a 4-2-3-1 formation. The team's quick wingers are a key asset on the counterattack. However, a lack of quality and cohesion in midfield contributes to the number of goals conceded and affects their overall results.

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Colombia

📰 Interestingly, Colombia did not participate in the last World Cup, which puts pressure on the current squad to redeem themselves in the eyes of their fans. Throughout World Cup history, the best result for "Los Cafeteros" was reaching the quarter-finals in 2014. Back then, they came close to knocking out the tournament hosts, Brazil (1-2).

📌 Colombia are ranked 14th in the FIFA World Rankings, with their squad valued at €262 million. The clear leader and most valuable player in the team is Luis Diaz (€70 million, Bayern). Other notable Colombian stars called up for the upcoming qualifiers include Daniel Munoz (€25 million, Crystal Palace) and Jhon Lucumi (€22 million, Bologna).

Bolivia

📰 The Bolivian national team has not participated in the main stage of the World Cup in the 21st century. Their last attempt to make their mark on the global stage was back in 1994, when they finished last in a group with Germany, Spain, and South Korea, managing just a single point. The current qualifying cycle offers hope to fans, suggesting brighter days may lie ahead for Bolivia.

⚡ Bolivia's national team currently sits at 78th place in the FIFA world rankings, with a squad valued at €13.38 million. Notably, the "Greens" boast a particularly young roster, averaging 24.9 years of age. Key players include Miguelito (€1.4 million, América Mineiro), Roberto Fernández (€1.2 million, Akron Tolyatti), and Gabriel Villamil (€1 million, LDU Quito).

🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

Both teams have shown discipline in their recent matches: the "Coffee Growers" average 1.9 cautions per game, while the "Greens" receive just 1.6. In their head-to-head encounters, the average number of yellow cards per game stands at 3.4. In South American football, referees also tend to be sparing with yellow cards, so our team doesn't anticipate a high number of cautions. Our pick is under 4.5 yellow cards.

⚽ Goal Prediction

It's important to remember that Bolivia concedes the most in the qualifiers, averaging around 2 goals per game. Meanwhile, Colombia boasts the third most effective attack in the qualifiers, scoring about 1.19 goals per match. Notably, the "Coffee Growers" have remained unbeaten in 17 of their last 18 home games and typically find the back of the net against opponents. We suggest placing a bet on over 3 goals.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Colombia's attacking line appears particularly formidable compared to Bolivia's. However, it's worth noting that the "Coffee Growers" rarely exploit the width of the pitch, earning 4.6 corners per match. In head-to-head meetings with Bolivia, this figure drops to 4.1. In Colombia's last 7 matches, there have been no more than 10 corner kicks. Our choice is under 9.5 corners.

Bolivia have slim chances on Colombian soil, yet our editorial team doesn't foresee a significant thrashing by the hosts. The "Greens" have been performing admirably in this qualifying cycle and even with a loss, they still retain a chance to advance to the main stage of the tournament. The "Coffee Growers" are formidable at home, rarely making major errors in front of their own fans. Our prediction for the final score is 3-1, with the key bet being Bolivia to win with a +2.5 handicap.