TIPS - Rosenborg VS 1.FSV Mainz 05

[(Rosenborg) Strength]:
1. Rosenborg won two consecutive rounds in the UEFA Conference League qualifiers and advanced to the play-off stage. In the first leg against Bundesliga team 1.FSV Mainz 05, Rosenborg must capitalize on their home field advantage to secure a victory, laying a solid foundation for the second leg. So they are highly motivated.
2. Rosenborg have remained unbeaten at home in the Eliteserien so far this season, achieving a record of 5 wins and 4 draws. In their last 4 European home games, they have won 2 and drawn 2.
3. Rosenborg performed outstandingly in the first two rounds of European qualifiers this season. Notably, they kept all clean sheets in four European matches, demonstrating excellent defensive stability.
4. Rosenborg's recent offensive performance has been stable. They have scored 13 goals in the past 6 games across all competitions, averaging more than 2 goals per game.
5. Rosenborg have won 3 of their last 4 games in AH, and also won 3 of their last 4 European games in AH.

[(Rosenborg) Weakness]:
1. Rosenborg currently ranked fifth in the league. Their recent performance in the league has been mediocre, with only a 30% win rate in the last 10 games.

[(1.FSV Mainz 05) Strength]:
1. After entering July, 1.FSV Mainz 05 played some warm-up matches and DFB-Pokal games, performing extremely well and achieving a record of 5 wins and 2 draws.
2. 1.FSV Mainz 05 performed exceptionally well in the Bundesliga last season, achieving a record of 14 wins, 10 draws and 10 losses, ranking 6th and thus securing a place in the UEFA Conference League play-offs.
3. 1.FSV Mainz 05's away win rate in the Bundesliga last season was higher than their home win rate. In the first DFB-Pokal match before the new season, they won smoothly away against Dynamo Dresden. Their ability to play away from home should not be ignored.

[(1.FSV Mainz 05) Weakness]:
1. 1.FSV Mainz 05 have a chance to qualify for European competitions again after many years. In the play-off against Rosenborg, 1.FSV Mainz 05 will undoubtedly go all out for a victory to gain an advantage ahead of the second leg. They are highly motivated for this match.
2. 1.FSV Mainz 05 have seen the departure of several key players during the off-season, including forwards Burkart and Ludovick, as well as defensive midfielders Fernandes and Klaus. The team's strength has been weakened.
3. 1.FSV Mainz 05 will face the first round of the Bundesliga in three days. Not long ago, they also played a DFB-Pokal match. The physical condition of the team's main players may cause trouble.
4. 1.FSV Mainz 05 won only 1 of their last 10 official games in AH.

[Tips]:
Rosenborg have been performing steadily recently, suffering only two defeats in their last ten matches.

In the last UEFA Conference League qualifying round, they even eliminated Allsvenskan powerhouses Hammarby to advance.

Since April, Rosenborg have never lost at home, achieving a record of 5 wins and 5 draws.

Their home field advantage is quite obvious.

On the other hand, Bundesliga team 1.FSV Mainz 05 have suffered from a significant loss of key players during the off-season and have not made sufficient efforts in recruitments.

In the recent DFB-Pokal match, they narrowly advanced with a 1-0 away victory over a 2. Bundesliga side, highlighting their severe lack of firepower in attack.

With their Bundesliga opener scheduled shortly after the first leg, the team may approach this away fixture cautiously and potentially rotate the squad to prioritize domestic commitments.

The AH line is also not in favor of the away side.

So Rosenborg are expected to keep unbeaten at home in the 1st leg.

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Rosenborg (+0/0.5)