TIPS - Sao Paulo FC VS Atletico Nacional

[(Sao Paulo FC) Strength]:
1. Sao Paulo FC drew with Atletico Nacional in the first leg on the road. They will advance to the next round if they win this round at home, indicating full motivation to win.
2. Sao Paulo FC signed Serie A team Atalanta BC captain Rafael Toloi recently. He is expected to make his debut in this match.
3. Sao Paulo FC drew 2-2 with Sport Club do Recife in the last league game on the road, remaining unbeaten in 3 consecutive competitive games, showing stable form.
4. Sao Paulo FC conceded 4 goals in the last 5 competitive games, with an average of less than 1 goal per game, demonstrating solid defense.
5. Sao Paulo FC received 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 10 competitive games at home and are now on a 4-game winning streak at home.
6. Sao Paulo FC scored 10 goals in the last 5 competitive games at home, averaging 2 goals per game, which showed full offense.
7. Sao Paulo FC were undefeated with 4 wins and 3 draws in 7 Copa Libertadores games so far.
8. Both sides received 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in the previous 9 encounters between both sides. Sao Paulo FC's 3 victories were secured at home, clearly demonstrating how their home advantage significantly boosts the team's performance.

[(Atletico Nacional) Strength]:
1. Atletico Nacional secured a draw with Sao Paulo FC in the first leg at home, failing to take the lead. But they still keep their advancing hopes. In this away match, they will fight to win and qualify for the next round.
2. Atletico Nacional drew 2-2 with Fortaleza C.E.I.F. in the last league game at home. They were unbeaten with 3 wins and 4 draws in the last 7 competitive games, demonstrating stable performances across all competitions.
3. Atletico Nacional scored 8 goals in the last 5 competitive games, averaging nearly 2 goals per game, which indicates reliable attack.
4. Atletico Nacional conceded 2 goals in the last 5 competitive games and kept 4 clean sheets, displaying impressive defense.

[(Atletico Nacional) Weakness]:
1. In the first leg, Atletico Nacional midfielder Edwin Cardona missed two penalty kicks, failing to secure the advantage for his team at home. Such a poor performance is undoubtedly a heavy blow to the player's form and confidence.
2. Atletico Nacional lost 3 group games on the road, without away strength in this Copa Libertadores.

[Tips]:
Sao Paulo FC have been in stable recent form, remaining unbeaten in 3 consecutive games.

The team boast solid defense and perform strongly at home.

They even remained unbeaten in 7 Copa Libertadores games so far, showing impressive performances in this tournament.

Atletico Nacional were unbeaten in 7 consecutive games across all competitions, demonstrating stable overall form.

Although the team featured excellent offense and defense, they performed poorly on the road in the Copa Libertadores.

They were also at a disadvantage against Sao Paulo FC previously, so Atletico Nacional cannot be overestimated in this away game.

Therefore, Sao Paulo FC are expected to secure a home win.

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Sao Paulo FC (-0.5)