England vs Spain Prediction for 28 July 2025 - Football

🔊 Women's Euro 2025 Final: England vs Spain. This isn't just a clash between Europe's two strongest national teams, but a meeting of two distinct footballing philosophies. England embodies grit, physicality, and adaptability. Under Sarina Wiegman, they might not always deliver the most dazzling performances, but they know how to win under the toughest conditions. Despite losing several key players, the Lionesses have made it to the final, defeating formidable teams like Italy in the semifinals. Their strengths lie in squad depth and unwavering discipline. Spain, on the other hand, is all about control, technique, and movement. The reigning world champions are in full stride, and Euro 2025 could mark their third major title in two years. Bonmatí, Putellas, and Guijarro are the engines of this team, capable of overwhelming opponents with sheer pace and precision. This isn't just a final—it's a rematch of the last Euro and a continuation of the battle for supremacy in women's football. England aims to hold onto Europe, while Spain seeks to dominate it entirely. Who will emerge victorious? We'll find out on July 27 in Basel. For now, let's move on to our prediction.

Head-to-Head

The last official match between the teams took place on 04 June 2025 and ended with a 2-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with Spain (W) as the home side):

• possession: 62% vs 38%;
• corners: 4 vs 1;
• fouls: 5 vs 8;
• yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
• shots on target: 5 vs 2.

📊 Analytical review of past official encounters between England (W) and Spain (W):

• 8 matches played;
• home wins – 3, away wins – 3, draws – 2;
• goals scored (home/away) – 10 to 9;
• average total goals per match – 2.38.

England (W) Team Overview

The team's last official match took place on in the semi-final of the Women's European Championship (hosts – England Women, visitors – Italy Women). The match ended with a score of 2-1.

The game statistics are as follows (England Women vs Italy Women):

• possession: 58% vs 42%;
• corners: 10 vs 3;
• fouls: 18 vs 8;
• yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
• shots on target: 7 vs 5.

⚪ In the semifinals, England's women's national team snatched a 2-1 victory over Italy after extra time. Sarina Wiegman's side were trailing until the 90th minute, but the substitutes made the difference. First, 19-year-old Michelle Agyemang equalized during stoppage time, and then Chloe Kelly sealed the win in the 119th minute, converting a rebound from a saved penalty. Goalkeeper Hannah Hampton kept her team in the game with several crucial saves, while the coaching staff's bold changes paid off. England once again demonstrated their resilience and advanced to the final, where they will face Spain. This marks the third consecutive major tournament where the English women have reached the decisive match.

Spain (W) Team Overview

The visitors last played an official match on in the Women's European Championship semi-final, with Germany hosting Spain. The match concluded with a 0-1 scoreline.

Here's the match stats (Spain Women vs Germany Women):

• possession: 60% vs 40%;
• corners: 6 vs 6;
• fouls: 20 vs 14;
• yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
• shots on target: 9 vs 4.

🔴 The Spanish national team have reached the Euro final by defeating Germany 1-0 in extra time. Aitana Bonmatí scored the decisive goal in the 113th minute. Spain controlled the match throughout—dominating possession, pace, and positional attacks. However, they managed to break through Germany's formidable defense only in the dying moments of overtime. While Bonmatí was the standout hero, goalkeeper Cata Coll also played a crucial role, making vital saves at key moments. Spain are making history by advancing to the European Championship final for the first time and are now preparing for a major showdown with England.

Latest news

England (W)

⭐ Chloe Kelly was named Player of the Match in England's victory over Italy, having scored the decisive goal.

🎙 Head coach Sarina Wiegman said at the post-match press conference: "The Italian team played very well tactically. We had more possession in the first half, but we created very few chances. In the second half, we continued what we started. The substitutions and slight tactical adjustments helped us again in the end. We narrowly escaped, but we deserved that goal. However, deserving is not enough; you have to score. We were a bit fortunate with the penalty in extra time, but it came at just the right moment."

Spain (W)

⭐ Aitana Bonmati, the scorer of the decisive goal, was deservedly named the player of the match in the Germany vs. Spain semifinal.

🎙 Spain's head coach Montserrat Tome after their semifinal victory: "It's an incredible joy to reach the final and defeat the great German team for the first time. I believe we've shown that we know how to fight. I'm thrilled for the players, the entire staff, and everything we're building here in Switzerland. This is the essence of our team—our ability to fight and work hard. Of course, we love to control the ball, but sometimes the opponent doesn't allow it, and then it's crucial to compete. The team has taken an important step forward in this regard, and that's how we secured the semifinal victory. Now it's important to recover."

Outcome Prediction

Outcome Prediction

Head-to-Head:

• Number of encounters – 8;
• Home wins – 3, Away wins – 3, Draws – 2.

Statistics: England (W) vs Spain (W)

• Matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
• Wins: 3 vs 5;
• Win percentage: 75% vs 100%;
• Losses: 1 vs 0;
• Draws: 0 vs 0.

Last 10 Matches:

• Wins: 5 vs 9;
• Losses: 5 vs 1;
• Draws: 0 vs 0.

• England (W) have won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 consecutive head-to-head matches against this team.
• England (W) have won with a +1.5 handicap in 49 of their last 50 matches.
• England (W) have won with a +1.5 handicap in 11 consecutive matches (Women's European Championship).

Total Goals Prediction

Head-to-Head:

• The current home team scores an average of - 1.25, while the away team scores - 1.13;
• The average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.38;
• Both teams scored: overall - 4 times; at the home team's ground - once.

Statistics: England (W) vs Spain (W)

• Average total in the tournament: 4.5 vs 4;
• Average goals scored: 3.25 vs 3.4;
• Average total in the first half: 1.5 vs 1.4;
• Average total in the second half: 1.75 vs 2;
• England (W): average total at home in the tournament - 0;
• Spain (W): average total away in the tournament - 0;
• Last 10 matches (average total): 3.1 (home - 4.8) vs 3.5 (away - 3.25).

• Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches between these teams.

Corners Prediction

England (W): Statistics

• Season: average total in the tournament - 5.5; at home - 0;
• Last 10 matches: average total - 4.9; at home - 5.

Spain (W): Statistics

• Season: average total in the tournament - 8.4, away - 0;
• Last 10 matches: average total - 7.4; away - 8.

• Total over 8.5 corners has occurred in 8 of Spain's last 9 matches (Women's European Championship).

Cards Prediction

Head-to-Head

• Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 1.26 (0.63 for the home team and 0.63 for the away team);
• Average total yellow cards at the home team's ground - 1 (0.33 for the home team and 0.67 for the away team).

England (W): Statistics

• Season: average total in the tournament - 0.75; at home - 0;
• Last 10 matches: average total - 1; at home - 0.4.

Spain (W): Statistics

• Season: average total in the tournament - 1.2, away - 0;
• Last 10 matches: average total - 1.2; away - 1.75.

• Total under 3.5 yellow cards has occurred in 7 of England's last 8 matches (Women's European Championship).
• Total under 3.5 yellow cards has occurred in 6 of England's last 7 matches.

Both Teams to Score Prediction

Head-to-Head:

• Number of encounters – 8;
• Both teams scored overall - 4 times;
• At the home team's ground - once.

Statistics: England (W) vs Spain (W)

• Total matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
• Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 2;
• BTTS for England (W) at home – 0 (0%);
• BTTS for Spain (W) away – 0 (0%).

Last 10 Matches:

• Total BTTS matches: 7 vs 6;
• BTTS for England (W) at home – 2 (40%);
• BTTS for Spain (W) away – 3 (75%).