Finland vs Switzerland Prediction 11 July 2025

🔊 Will the Swiss women make history by reaching the playoffs for the first time ever, and on home soil at the Euros? In the final round of the group stage at Stade de Genève, Finland and Switzerland will battle it out to determine who truly deserves to advance and who will be heading for an early vacation. Both teams have one win and one loss, sharing the second and third spots in their group. A draw would suffice for the Swiss, while the Finnish players need all three points to avoid an early exit. So, who is the favorite in this matchup? According to bookmakers, it's the tournament hosts. You can find our editorial's prediction below.

Head-to-Head

📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Finland Women and Switzerland Women:

• 4 matches played;
• home team victories – 1, away team victories – 2, draws – 1;
• goals scored – 9 for each side;
• average first-half total – 0, second-half – 0;
• average total goals per match – 3.25.

Finland (W) Team Overview

The team's last official match took place on during the second round of the Women's European Championship (home team – Norway (W), away team – Finland (W)). The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.

Here are the game statistics (Finland (W) vs Norway (W)):

• possession percentage: 58% vs 42%;
• corner kicks: 6 vs 6;
• fouls: 4 vs 5;
• yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
• shots on target: 6 vs 3.

The Finns kicked off their campaign with a 1-0 victory over Iceland, but in their second match, they fell to the group leaders, Norway, with a 2-1 defeat after conceding a decisive goal in the 84th minute. Currently sitting in third place with three points, they trail the Swiss only on goal difference. This means Finland need nothing short of a win— a draw won't be enough to surpass their rivals. A loss is simply out of the question.

Switzerland (W) Team Overview

The visitors played their last official match on during the second round of the Women's European Championship (hosts – Switzerland (W), visitors – Iceland (W)). The game ended with a score of 2-0.

Here are the match statistics (Switzerland (W) vs Iceland (W)):

• possession percentage: 59% vs 41%;
• corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
• fouls: 9 vs 20;
• yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
• shots on target: 4 vs 2.

The Swiss women fell short in their opening match against Norway, losing 2-1, but bounced back in their second game with a 2-0 victory over Iceland. Géraldine Reuteler and Alayah Pilgrim found the net in that win. This result places them second in the standings with three points and a positive goal difference of 3:2 (+1). This edge puts them ahead of Finland, who also have three points but a goal difference of 2:2 (0). This scenario means the Swiss could make history by advancing to the Women's Euro playoffs for the first time, even with a draw against Finland. However, they likely have higher ambitions than just scraping through, as they aim to thrill their nation and fans at their home Euro with successful performances, particularly by advancing past the group stage.

Latest news

Finland (W)

🎙 Finland's head coach Marko Saloranta after the loss to Norway: "We played well in our first match against Iceland, and today we performed even better, despite the defeat. This boosts our confidence, and if we play at least as well as we did today, we have every chance to beat Switzerland. We'll take a short rest and start preparing for that game tomorrow. We played very well against a top-class opponent. I believe we deserved some points today. The result doesn't seem fair, but of course, credit must be given to Norway."

Switzerland (W)

🔝 Géraldine Reuteler, who netted the winning goal against Iceland, has once again been named Player of the Match. It's worth recalling that in the opening game against Norway, despite Switzerland's defeat, Reuteler was also recognized as the standout player.

🎙 Géraldine shared her emotions following the victory and receiving the well-deserved honor: "I felt relieved. I think we controlled the game well for all 90 minutes and fought until the very end. The match demanded a lot from us, but thanks to the support of our fans, it feels incredibly joyful once again. I'm incredibly happy that we won. I told myself I really wanted to score today, and I'm glad it happened. Sid Schertenleib made an excellent pass, I struck it cleanly, and the ball flew into the net! The stadium is absolute chaos right now—everyone's celebrating!"

Outcome Prediction

Outcome Prediction

Head-to-Head:

• Total meetings – 4;
• Home wins – 1, Away wins – 2, Draws – 1.

Statistics: Finland (W) vs Switzerland (W)

• Matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
• Wins: 1 vs 1;
• Win percentage: 50% vs 50%;
• Losses: 1 vs 1;
• Draws: 0 vs 0.

Last 10 Matches:

• Wins: 6 vs 3;
• Losses: 1 vs 5;
• Draws: 3 vs 2.

• Finland (W) are unbeaten at home in their last 11 matches.
• Finland (W) have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 matches.
• Switzerland (W) have failed to win in 7 of their last 8 matches.

Total Goals Prediction

Statistics: Finland (W) vs Switzerland (W)

• Average total in the tournament: 2 vs 2.5;
• Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.5;
• Average first-half total: 0.5 vs 0.5;
• Average second-half total: 0.5 vs 1;
• Finland (W): average home total in the tournament - 0;
• Switzerland (W): average away total in the tournament - 0;
• Last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 2.2) vs 1.2 (away - 1.5).

• Finland (W) have scored at home in 10 of their last 11 matches.

Cards Prediction

Finland (W): Statistics

• Season: average total in the tournament - 0.5; at home - 0;
• Last 10 matches: average total - 0.4; at home - 0.4.

Switzerland (W): Statistics

• Season: average total in the tournament - 0.5, away - 0;
• Last 10 matches: average total - 0.8; away - 1.

Both Teams to Score Prediction

Statistics: Finland (W) vs Switzerland (W)

• Total matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
• Matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 1;
• BTTS for Finland (W) at home – 0 (0%);
• BTTS for Switzerland (W) away – 0 (0%).

Last 10 Matches:

• BTTS matches: 2 vs 3;
• BTTS for Finland (W) at home – 1 (20%);
• BTTS for Switzerland (W) away – 2 (50%).