Spain vs Italy Prediction 18 June 2025

📢 Will the third-round group stage clash at the UEFA European Under-21 Championship between Spain U21 and Italy U21 be a true battle for the top spot in Group A? Both teams are in excellent form: the Spaniards have won all their recent official matches, while the Italians remain unbeaten for quite some time. The designated home side showcases a confident attacking style, averaging 2.6 goals per game, whereas the visitors are renowned for their solid defense. This encounter promises to be a real test for both squads.

Head-to-Head

📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Spain U21 and Italy U21:

• 4 matches played;
• home side victories – 3, away side victories – 1, draws – 0;
• goals scored – 9 for Spain, 7 for Italy;
• average goals in the first half – 1, in the second half – 1.25;
• average total goals per match – 3.5.

Spain U21 Team Overview

The team's last official match took place on in the UEFA European Under-21 Championship, with Spain U21 as the nominal hosts and Romania U21 as the nominal visitors. The match concluded with a 2-1 victory for Spain.

Here are the match statistics (Spain U21 vs Romania U21):

• possession: 76% vs 24%;
• corners: 11 vs 2;
• fouls: 9 vs 11;
• yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
• shots on target: 9 vs 3.

🔴 Spain U21 are sitting at the top of their group, showcasing incredible form. In their last ten official matches, the team has secured nine victories and drawn just once, boasting an impressive scoring average of 2.6 goals per game. La Rojita favor a possession-based style with high pressing, which has been key to their success on the pitch.

✅ The Spanish squad is delivering exciting attacking football in this tournament. Following a thrilling 3-2 win over Slovakia, they created numerous chances against Romania, achieving an impressive xG of 3.37. Although both goals came after the 85th minute, the 2-1 victory was well-deserved. The hero of the match was Espanyol's forward Roberto Fernandez, who netted the decisive goal.

Italy U21 Team Overview

The last official match the current nominal visitors played was on in the UEFA European Under-21 Championship, with Slovakia U21 as the nominal hosts and Italy U21 as the visitors. The match concluded with a score of 0-1.

Here are the match statistics (Italy U21 vs Slovakia U21):

• Ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
• Corners: 3 vs 4;
• Fouls: 29 vs 15;
• Yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
• Shots on target: 2 vs 1.

⚪ Italy U21 hold the second spot and continue to delight their fans with consistent performances—no defeats in recent official matches! The team boasts a well-balanced game: a strong attack, averaging 2.7 goals per match, is complemented by a solid defense, allowing just 0.4 goals on average. The last head-to-head clash between these teams ended in a goalless draw, highlighting the Italians' resilience even against the toughest opponents.

✅ The Italy U21 squad approaches the tournament with a style distinctly different from Spain's—they don't dominate possession but play pragmatically and focus on the result. In both matches, they didn't statistically outshine their opponents and at times even trailed, yet they managed to secure maximum points each time. In the second round against Slovakia (1-0), an early goal in the 7th minute by the talented midfielder Cesare Casadei was decisive. After that, the Italians calmly saw out the victory.

Prediction on the outcome

H2H:

• number of encounters – 4;
• home team wins – 3, away team wins – 1, draws – 0.

Statistics: Spain U21 vs Italy U21

• matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
• wins: 2 vs 2;
• win percentage: 100% vs 100%;
• losses: 0 vs 0;
• draws: 0 vs 0.

Last 10 matches:

• wins: 9 vs 7;
• losses: 0 vs 0;
• draws: 1 vs 3.

• Italy U21 won with a +1.5 handicap in last 25 games.
• Italy U21 won with a +1.5 handicap in last 13 away games.
• Italy U21 won with a +1.5 handicap in 11 of last 12 games (European Under-21 Championship).

Prediction on the over/under

H2H

• the home team scores on average - 2.25, the guests - 1.75;
• average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 3.5;
• both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 0.

• Spain U21 have scored over 1.5 goals in 13 of last 15 home games.

Prediction on corners

Spain U21: Statistics

• season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 9.5; at home field - 11;
• last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 8.5; at home field - 9.2.

Italy U21: Statistics

• season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.5, away - 3;
• last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; away - 3.25.

• Under 10.5 corners in 12 of last 14 Italy U21 games.
• Under 10.5 corners in 9 of last 10 Italy U21 away games.

Prediction on cards

Spain U21: Statistics

• season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1; at home - 1;
• last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 0.2; at home - 0.2.

Italy U21: Statistics

• season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2, away - 3;
• last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 0.4; away - 0.75.

Prediction on BTTS

H2H:

• number of encounters – 4;
• both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
• on the home team’s field - 0 times.

Statistics: Spain U21 vs Italy U21

• number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
• number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 0;
• number of BTTS matches for Spain U21 at home – 1 (100%);
• number of BTTS matches for Italy U21 away – 0 (0%).

Last 10 matches:

• number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 3;
• BTTS matches for Spain U21 at home – 2 (40%);
• BTTS matches for Italy U21 away – 1 (25%).