Bournemouth vs Leicester Prediction 25 May 2025

🔊 How will Leicester look without their legend, Jamie Vardy? The team is likely to undergo some restructuring, but that's a challenge for next season when the Foxes will be competing in the Championship. Bournemouth, on the other hand, will remain in the Premier League, though their squad could see significant changes due to increased demand for their players. In this upcoming clash, neither team has much at stake in terms of standings, yet there is a clear favorite. However, we'll explore various scenarios to make an insightful prediction. It's worth noting that the match will take place at the Vitality Stadium.

Head-to-Head

📊 Over a stretch of 16 head-to-head matches, Leicester hold the advantage with a 38 percent win rate. They also came out on top in the first round of this season's competition with a 1-0 victory. Facundo Buonanotte, on loan from Brighton, secured the three points by scoring in the 16th minute. Leicester had additional opportunities to score in the first half, but after the break, Bournemouth tightened their defense and kept Leicester at bay, although they failed to capitalize on their own chances.

Bournemouth Team Overview

🔴 Bournemouth had a rather lengthy winless streak that knocked them out of contention for a European spot. However, in April, the team found their rhythm, going five matches unbeaten, even managing to defeat Arsenal 2-1. But in the last two rounds, the Cherries have suffered defeats again. To be fair, their opponents were among those contending for Champions League places.

🔗 On Tuesday, they played a rescheduled match from the 37th round against Manchester City. City were not in the best spirits following their FA Cup defeat just three days prior. Yet, Bournemouth couldn't capitalize on the opportunity. They scored in the sixth minute of added time, by which point their opponents had already scored three times.

❗ Bournemouth's standout player this season could be Antoine Semenyo, boasting a 7.16 rating in the Premier League. Andoni Iraola likes to deploy him on either flank in attack. He performs even better on the right, with 6 goals in 18 matches. He was one of the key figures during the recent five-match unbeaten run, contributing to three of those games with decisive actions. In the last two rounds, however, there's been a lull, much like the rest of the team.

Leicester City Team Overview

🔵 Leicester have shown signs of life towards the end of the season. They snapped their winless streak and finally scored at home this year in a match against Southampton (2-0). However, from a standings perspective, this victory didn't change much. On the other hand, their draw with Nottingham Forest (2-2) had implications for the fight for Champions League spots.

🔗 In the previous round, the Foxes notched their second consecutive home victory, this time against Ipswich (2-0), who are also heading to the Championship. Jamie Vardy scored his 200th goal and bid farewell to the King Power Stadium, though not to football. The veteran was seen off by former teammates from Leicester's title-winning squad.

❗ Despite being 38, Jamie Vardy has been indispensable for Leicester this season. In May, the striker notched two goals and an assist, meaning he had a goal involvement in three consecutive matches. In the Premier League scorers' list, the former England international is buried in the fourth decade. Yet none of his teammates came close to his tally of nine goals.

Latest news

Bournemouth

🎙 Bournemouth defender Daniel Jebbison scored his first Premier League goal for the club against Manchester City: "I truly love this club, it's the best I've ever been at, and I'm just really proud to contribute something positive to this game."

🔝 Despite the defeat to Manchester City at the Etihad, Bournemouth have set a new record this season for both away points and goals.

❌ Bournemouth are dealing with a significant injury list, including Ryan Christie, Dango Ouattara, Alex Scott, Luis Sinisterra, and Enes Unal. Additionally, Lewis Cook will miss the upcoming match after receiving a red card against Manchester City.

Leicester City

🎙 Jamie Vardy has been named Leicester's Player of the Season and was awarded a golden fox statue. The striker addressed the fans: “The only thing I can truly say—from the bottom of my heart—is thank you for welcoming me and my family as your own. A massive thank you.” It's known that Vardy wants to stay in the Premier League. Crystal Palace, Leeds, and Wolverhampton have shown interest. Surprisingly, Valencia has emerged, declaring Jamie as one of their primary transfer targets.

📝 Ruud van Nistelrooy stated he is ready to remain with Leicester for the next season. However, the management is not interested in continuing the partnership with the specialist. It's expected that the match against Bournemouth will be his last. Leicester will not begin the search for a new manager until his departure, out of respect for the coach.

❌ Leicester have as many absences as Bournemouth. For the upcoming clash, Bobby De Cordova-Reid, Issahaku Fatawu, Mads Hermansen, Stephy Mavididi, and Harry Souttar are all sidelined due to injuries. Meanwhile, Harry Winks remains suspended by the manager's decision.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The main referee for the match is Lewis Smith, who has officiated six Premier League games this season. The most card-heavy match he oversaw was the recent clash between Everton and Ipswich, where each team received four yellow cards. On average, he hands out 4.33 yellow cards per game.

Bournemouth have the edge in yellow cards this season, averaging 2.6 compared to 2.5. Matches involving Bournemouth see an average of 5.1 yellow cards. In 24 of Iraola's 25 games across all competitions, there have been at least three yellow cards. This aligns with the minimum number of bookings Smith has issued in Premier League games this season. Therefore, a bet on over 2.5 total yellow cards seems reasonable.

⚽️ Goals Prediction

Leicester have shown improvement lately, particularly in defense, keeping two clean sheets in May, albeit at home. Conversely, Bournemouth have not seen more than two goals in their last 14 matches. This trend also holds for 6 of their last 7 head-to-head encounters. Thus, a bet on home team total goals under 2.5 appears insightful.

🚩 Corners Prediction

Bournemouth lead in corner stats this season, averaging 6 compared to 3.7. However, in 9 of their last 10 head-to-head Premier League meetings, they have not exceeded seven corners. This pattern is also evident in 6 of their last 7 matches in the current tournament. Therefore, a bet on Bournemouth total corners under 7.5 seems well-founded.

The last three head-to-head clashes between these teams have all ended with a scoreline of 1-0, a noteworthy pattern indeed. However, with it being the final round and neither Bournemouth nor Leicester having tournament motivation, isn't it time to entertain the fans with some thrilling football? We believe the moment has arrived, so we're backing both teams to score (yes). The Foxes have found their stride towards the end of the season, starting to find the net, which gives them a good chance to breach the Cherries' defense.