AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen Prediction 23 May 2025

Can AZ Alkmaar assert their status as favorites against Heerenveen in the Conference League playoff semi-final? Both clubs are in strong form. AZ Alkmaar, finishing 5th in the table, are aiming for a home victory to secure their spot in European competitions. Meanwhile, Heerenveen, sitting in 9th place, are also hoping for a miracle. Considering the latest statistics and the current form of both teams, we can anticipate an intriguing match with a focus on tactical battles.

Head-to-Head

The last official encounter between the teams took place on 02 March 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 3:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team – Heerenveen):

• ball possession percentage: 42% vs 58%;
• corner kicks: 3 vs 6;
• fouls: 11 vs 10;
• yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
• shots on target: 6 vs 4.

Statistical preview of official matches between the teams AZ Alkmaar and Heerenveen:

• played 42 matches;
• number of wins for the home team – 21, for the away team – 13, draws – 8;
• number of goals – 90 against 69;
• average total in the 1st half – 1.5, in the 2nd half – 2.29;
• average total goals in the match – 3.79.

AZ Alkmaar Team Overview

The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team – AZ Alkmaar, away team – Almere City). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.

Here's the game statistics (AZ Alkmaar vs Almere City):

• ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
• corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
• fouls: 14 vs 11;
• yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
• shots on target: 5 vs 3.

AZ Alkmaar have been in impressive form this season, securing the fifth spot in the league. Known for their consistent attack, they average 1.71 goals per match. AZ Alkmaar also boast a well-structured defense, conceding just over one goal per game, with an average of 1.09 goals allowed per match. Despite suffering three defeats in their last ten outings, the club remains favorites due to their strong home performance. They have not lost in their last six head-to-head encounters with Heerenveen on home turf.

Heerenveen Team Overview

The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team – Heerenveen, away – Feyenoord Rotterdam). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.

Here are the match stats (Heerenveen vs Feyenoord Rotterdam):

• ball possession: 43% vs 57%;
• corner kicks: 2 vs 3;
• fouls: 19 vs 6;
• yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
• shots on target: 5 vs 4.

Heerenveen continue to oscillate between victories and defeats, with four wins and five losses in their last ten matches highlighting their inconsistency. The team boasts solid attacking capabilities, averaging 1.24 goals per match, but their weak defense is a hindrance, conceding approximately 1.68 goals per game. On the road, Heerenveen struggle significantly; recent losing streaks underscore the need to enhance their away performances to aim for loftier ambitions.

Prediction for the 1st half

Head-to-Head Matches:

• Total encounters – 42;
• First-half wins at home for hosts – 10; for visitors away – 4; number of draws – 8;
• Average first-half total: 1.5;
• Today's home team scores on average 0.83, while the visitors net 0.67.

First-Half Stats: AZ Alkmaar (home) vs Heerenveen (away)

• Number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
• Number of wins: 6 (0.35%) vs 1 (0.06%);
• Number of losses: 4 (0.24%) vs 11 (0.65%);
• Number of draws: 7 (0.41%) vs 5 (0.29%);
• Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.24;
• Average goals conceded: 0.47 vs 0.94.

Last 10 Matches (Overall):

• Number of wins: 4 vs 3;
• Number of losses: 2 vs 3;
• Number of draws: 4 vs 4;
• Average first-half total: 1.4 (scored – 0.9, conceded – 0.5) vs 1.4 (scored – 0.8, conceded – 0.6).

• AZ Alkmaar scored in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 home games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).

Prediction on the outcome

H2H:

• number of encounters – 42;
• home team wins – 21, away team wins – 13, draws – 8.

Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen

• matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
• wins: 16 vs 12;
• win percentage: 47% vs 35%;
• losses: 9 vs 15;
• draws: 9 vs 7.

Last 10 matches:

• wins: 3 vs 4;
• losses: 3 vs 5;
• draws: 4 vs 1.

• Heerenveen have lost in last 5 away games (Eredivisie).

Prediction on the over/under

H2H

• today's home team scores on average - 2.14, the guests - 1.64;
• average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.79;
• both teams scored: overall - 27; at the home team's field - 15.

Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen

• average total in the tournament: 2.79 vs 2.91;
• average total goals scored: 1.71 vs 1.24;
• average total in the 1st half: 0.71 vs 0.59;
• average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 0.65;
• AZ Alkmaar: average total at home in the tournament -  1.76;
• Heerenveen: average total away in the tournament - 0.71;
• last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 1.33) vs 1.2 (away - 0.6).

• AZ Alkmaar have scored over 1.5 goals in 21 of last 23 games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
• AZ Alkmaar have scored over 1.5 goals in 17 of last 19 games against Heerenveen.
• AZ Alkmaar have scored over 1.5 goals in 10 of last 11 home games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
• AZ Alkmaar have scored over 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 home games against Heerenveen.

Prediction on corners

AZ Alkmaar: Statistics

• season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.26; at home field - 6.59;
• last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.8; at home field - 8.33.

Heerenveen: Statistics

• season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.85, away - 3.53;
• last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; away - 3.4.

Prediction on cards

H2H

• average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.96 (1.48 for home team and 1.48 for away team);
• average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.9 (1.45 for home team and 1.45 for away team).

AZ Alkmaar: Statistics

• season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.5; at home - 1.06;
• last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.6; at home - 1.17.

Heerenveen: Statistics

• season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.21, away - 1.29;
• last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 0.8; away - 1.

Prediction on BTTS

H2H:

• number of encounters – 42;
• both teams scored all-time - 27 times;
• on the home team’s field - 15 times.

Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen

• number of matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
• number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 19 vs 18;
• number of BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar at home – 10 (59%);
• number of BTTS matches for Heerenveen away – 8 (47%).

Last 10 matches:

• number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
• BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar at home – 4 (67%);
• BTTS matches for Heerenveen away – 3 (60%).